Beyond the Box
Methods · models

Models that answer basketball questions.

A public model is more than a name in a registry. It needs a purpose, an output, an evidence period, and a clear account of what has not been validated.

Published outputs
3
Status language
Published / Experimental
Evaluation
Reported with the output
Experimental

Beyond the Box Value Model

Estimate season-level player value from observed per-minute impact and playing-time exposure.

Output
The value_score used as the rank key for the Beyond the Box 100.
Version
v1.1.0
Evidence
The selected regular-season player data period attached to each ranking edition.
Published

Margin-Aware Team Strength Model

Track team strength game by game while allowing the score margin to carry more information than a win alone.

Output
A season team-strength rating and expected game result used in team context surfaces.
Version
1.0.0
Evidence
Completed games in the selected NBA season.
Published

Contract Value Model

Put documented NBA salaries into season and cap context before comparing cost with estimated player value.

Output
Cap share, cap-equivalent salary, and a comparison context for contract analysis.
Version
1.0.0
Evidence
Documented contract and cap records available for the selected season.

Models that are drafted, withheld, or missing a meaningful public output are intentionally absent from this primary index.